Levski Krumovgrad 1-1 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
40%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.64/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.63
-35% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-0 HT 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
26.05.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-1 HT 1-1 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
26.11.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-2 HT 2-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
28.07.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 1-3 HT 1-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
1-1
AWAY Cherno More Varna
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Krumovgrad and Cherno More Varna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cherno More Varna at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 34% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 66%, shots finished 3-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Levski Krumovgrad and 3.00 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs Cherno More Varna?

Levski Krumovgrad 1-1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 28%, draw 25%, Cherno More Varna 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
15 Feb 2025
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