Botev Plovdiv 5-0 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
12%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 14%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.74/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.74
-14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Spartak Varna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 0-2 HT 0-2 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BULK
24.10.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 3-2 HT 1-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
04.05.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-2 HT 2-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
15.02.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
24.08.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
27.02.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
5-0
AWAY Spartak Varna
72% Ball Possession 28%
27 Total Shots 5
16 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Botev Plovdiv ran out comfortable winners over Spartak Varna 5-0 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 4 Apr 2026. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 39%.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 72% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 28%, shots finished 27-5.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.33 for Spartak Varna.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?

Botev Plovdiv 5-0 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 63%, draw 25%, Spartak Varna 12%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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