Spartak Varna 0-2 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
6.35
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
69%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
13%
+3.1pp
15%
Draw
20%
-4.5pp
69%
Away Win
67%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.3pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 71%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.19/0.59
+150% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / +17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
24.10.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 3-2 HT 1-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
04.05.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-2 HT 2-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
15.02.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
24.08.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
27.02.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BULK
17.04.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
0-2
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv saw off Spartak Varna 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 45% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 55%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Varna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.33 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv?

Spartak Varna 0-2 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - Cup on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 16%, draw 15%, Botev Plovdiv 69%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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