CSKA Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
32%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
02.04.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
16.09.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-3 HT 0-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
30.03.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
28.09.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
2-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 63% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 37%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.20 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

CSKA Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - Cup on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 57%, draw 25%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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