CSKA Sofia 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 15%
-20% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.72/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.37
-17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-3 HT 0-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
30.03.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
28.09.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
1-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia squeezed past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 64% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 36%, shots finished 21-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.00 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

CSKA Sofia 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 56%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ BTTS No
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