Botev Plovdiv 0-0 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
53%
-15.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
21%
+15.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 25%
-22% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.23/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.10
-24% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
309 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
3W-0D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
04.04.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-3 HT 0-2 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
30.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 4-1 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv and PFC Beroe played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 0.33 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs PFC Beroe?

Botev Plovdiv 0-0 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 37%, draw 26%, PFC Beroe 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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