Arda Kardzhali 4-0 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2025

Arda Kardzhali
4-0 HT 3-0
Cherno More Varna
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arda Kardzhali v Cherno More Varna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.43/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.63
+40% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +74%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
07.11.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
15.07.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-3 HT 0-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
03.05.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-2 HT 0-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1

Arda Kardzhali 4-0 Cherno More Varna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
4-0
AWAY Cherno More Varna
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali swept aside Cherno More Varna 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Arda Kardzhali found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 40% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 60%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.75 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?

Arda Kardzhali 4-0 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 40%, draw 30%, Cherno More Varna 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
2 Apr 2025
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