Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
60%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
60%
Away Win
53%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
0.82/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.00
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0W-0D-4L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
16.09.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-3 HT 0-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
30.03.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
28.09.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-1
AWAY CSKA Sofia
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and CSKA Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CSKA Sofia at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 54% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 46%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.75 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 19%, draw 21%, CSKA Sofia 60%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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