Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cherno More Varna v Septemvri Sofia — Team-Based Signals
Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
Cherno More Varna 1-1 Septemvri Sofia — Actual Match Statistics
Cherno More Varna and Septemvri Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Cherno More Varna carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cherno More Varna had 66% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 34%, shots finished 25-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.33 for Septemvri Sofia.
What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
Cherno More Varna 1-1 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 67%, draw 22%, Septemvri Sofia 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna), BTTS No went the other way.