Duhok 1-0 Al Talaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.9pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Duhok EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.41/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.98
-65% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Duhok
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Talaba
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
03.10.2025 Al Talaba Al Talaba 2-1 HT 1-0 Duhok Duhok IRAK
10.05.2025 Al Talaba Al Talaba 0-0 HT 0-0 Duhok Duhok IRAK
04.12.2023 Duhok Duhok 1-3 HT 1-0 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
POST-MATCH Duhok vs Al Talaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Duhok squeezed past Al Talaba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 36% / 30% — and on the day Duhok made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Talaba led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Duhok and 1.67 for Al Talaba.

What was the final score of Duhok vs Al Talaba?

Duhok 1-0 Al Talaba in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Duhok vs Al Talaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Duhok 34%, draw 36%, Al Talaba 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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