Al Najaf 1-3 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
65%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+3.8pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.6pp
65%
Away Win
66%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
0.55/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.64
-27% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +20%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najaf
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Shorta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
31.01.2026 Al Shorta Al Shorta 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Najaf Al Najaf IRAK
12.04.2025 Al Shorta Al Shorta 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Najaf Al Najaf IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Najaf vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta beat Al Najaf 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Shorta led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Najaf and 1.50 for Al Shorta.

What was the final score of Al Najaf vs Al Shorta?

Al Najaf 1-3 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najaf vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Najaf 17%, draw 19%, Al Shorta 65%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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