Diala 1-1 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

Diala
1-1 HT 0-1
Newroz
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Diala vs Newroz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+8.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diala v Newroz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diala EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.76/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.71
-35% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Diala vs Newroz Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diala
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Newroz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
31.01.2026 Newroz 2-1 HT 1-0 Diala Diala IRAK
20.02.2025 Diala Diala 1-4 HT 0-3 Newroz IRAK
POST-MATCH Diala vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diala and Newroz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Newroz at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Newroz led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Diala and 3.00 for Newroz.

What was the final score of Diala vs Newroz?

Diala 1-1 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diala vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Diala 30%, draw 29%, Newroz 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Newroz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newroz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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