Diala 1-4 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 Feb 2025

Diala
1-4 HT 0-3
Newroz
📅20/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diala EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 48%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Diala vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz swept aside Diala 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Newroz made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Diala vs Newroz?

Diala 1-4 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diala vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Diala 29%, draw 31%, Newroz 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newroz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newroz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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