Naft Maysan 3-2 Al Karma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 Feb 2025

Naft Maysan
3-2 HT 3-2
Al Karma
📅20/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Naft Maysan vs Al Karma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.54
Over 2.5
28%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.99
No
65%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
72%
Under 2.5
61%
+10.6pp
28%
Over 2.5
39%
-10.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
46%
-10.9pp
65%
BTTS No
54%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naft Maysan v Al Karma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karma EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Naft Maysan vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Maysan squeezed past Al Karma 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Naft Maysan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Al Karma?

Naft Maysan 3-2 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Al Karma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Maysan win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 34%, draw 32%, Al Karma 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft Maysan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft Maysan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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