Al Zawraa 1-0 Karbala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-17.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+12.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Karbala EU Bookmakers 15%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.75
-41% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +129%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Zawraa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karbala
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.02.2024 Karbala Karbala 1-0 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Karbala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Zawraa squeezed past Karbala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Zawraa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Karbala?

Al Zawraa 1-0 Karbala in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Karbala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 49%, draw 26%, Karbala 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Zawraa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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