31/01/2026
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Newroz vs Diala Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
31%
Draw
32%
35%
Away Win
32%
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
56%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newroz v Diala — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Newroz
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Diala
EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% /
-11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-13%
1.05/1.13
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.04/1.96
-9%
/
-9%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-8%
/
-41%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
9
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
3
3
Corners
4
265 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
338 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Newroz vs Diala Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Newroz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Diala
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Newroz vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Newroz nicked a narrow win over Diala 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Newroz made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Newroz vs Diala?
Newroz 2-1 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newroz vs Diala?
Before kick-off our model rated an Diala win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Newroz 33%, draw 31%, Diala 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Diala)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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31 Jan 2026