Baghdad vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baghdad v Erbil — Team-Based Signals
Baghdad vs Erbil Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Baghdad ran out comfortable winners over Erbil 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Erbil at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Baghdad vs Erbil?
Baghdad 3-0 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baghdad vs Erbil?
Before kick-off our model rated an Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Baghdad 29%, draw 31%, Erbil 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Erbil), Under 2.5 went the other way.