Al Talaba 3-1 Al Gharraf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.7pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.39/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.33
+2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Talaba vs Al Gharraf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Talaba beat Al Gharraf 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Talaba as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Talaba vs Al Gharraf?

Al Talaba 3-1 Al Gharraf in the Iraq - Premier League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Talaba vs Al Gharraf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Talaba 52%, draw 27%, Al Gharraf 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Talaba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Talaba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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