Al Shorta 1-0 Al Najaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

Al Shorta
1-0 HT 1-0
Al Najaf
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Shorta vs Al Najaf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shorta v Al Najaf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 18%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.50
+26% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Shorta vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta edged past Al Najaf 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Al Najaf?

Al Shorta 1-0 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Al Najaf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 55%, draw 24%, Al Najaf 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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