Al Karma 1-1 Al Talaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

Al Karma
1-1 HT 0-0
Al Talaba
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Karma vs Al Talaba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.56
Over 2.5
31%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.03
No
64%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
60%
+8.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
40%
-8.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.9pp
64%
BTTS No
55%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Karma v Al Talaba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karma EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.51/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+40% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Karma vs Al Talaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma and Al Talaba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Karma at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Karma vs Al Talaba?

Al Karma 1-1 Al Talaba in the Iraq - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Al Talaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 41%, draw 26%, Al Talaba 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Karma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Karma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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