Newroz 2-2 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.3pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 26%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.49
+4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +137% / +116%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naft Maysan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.12.2023 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 2-2 Newroz IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz and Naft Maysan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Newroz at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Naft Maysan?

Newroz 2-2 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Newroz 46%, draw 33%, Naft Maysan 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newroz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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