JEF United 3-2 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 4 Apr 2026

JEF United
3-2 HT 2-0
Tokyo Verdy
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2026

JEF United vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
5.15
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JEF United v Tokyo Verdy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.13/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.47
-11% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
– Crosses 16.7
– Yellow Cards 1.6

JEF United vs Tokyo Verdy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-1 HT 2-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
22.10.2023 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 3-2 HT 0-2 JEF United JEF United JAP2
16.04.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
26.06.2022 JEF United JEF United 3-1 HT 2-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
23.04.2022 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
24.10.2021 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-5 HT 1-3 JEF United JEF United JAP2

JEF United 3-2 Tokyo Verdy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
3-2
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
2.45 xG 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
290 Passes 299
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United squeezed past Tokyo Verdy 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day JEF United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JEF United had 49% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 51%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 2.45 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for JEF United and 1.33 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Tokyo Verdy?

JEF United 3-2 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split JEF United 35%, draw 29%, Tokyo Verdy 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✗ Under 2.5
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