Mito HollyHock 1-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 53%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
0.88/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.24
-9% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
14.0 Crosses 20.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
03.02.2018 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-4 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.61 xG 3.07
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
186 Passes 569
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock and Kashima Antlers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 29% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 71%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.61 to 3.07.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Kashima Antlers?

Mito HollyHock 1-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 28%, draw 24%, Kashima Antlers 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5
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