Kanchanaburi 0-2 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanchanaburi EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -1%
1.17/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.01
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
27.0 Crosses 19.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanchanaburi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 2.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 2
297 Passes 246
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
24.12.2025 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 2-1 HT 1-0 Kanchanaburi Kanchanaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanchanaburi
0-2
AWAY BG Pathum United
0.30 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
312 Passes 223
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kanchanaburi vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BG Pathum United saw off Kanchanaburi 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Kanchanaburi had 56% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 44%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.30 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Kanchanaburi vs BG Pathum United?

Kanchanaburi 0-2 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanchanaburi vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kanchanaburi 30%, draw 26%, BG Pathum United 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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