Ratchaburi 2-2 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
53%
Away Win
53%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 57%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.23/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.88
+3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
15.5 Crosses 19.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Buriram United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.78 xG 1.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
342 Passes 361
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Buriram United Buriram United 2-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
19.04.2025 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3-2 HT 2-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
08.12.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 6-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
20.04.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-4 HT 0-2 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
24.11.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
25.11.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
2-2
AWAY Buriram United
1.05 xG 1.31
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
280 Passes 240
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi and Buriram United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Buriram United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 53% of the ball to Buriram United's 47%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.05 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ratchaburi and 2.50 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Buriram United?

Ratchaburi 2-2 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 23%, draw 24%, Buriram United 53%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Buriram United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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