Ratchaburi 3-2 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 61%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.14/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.99
+6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
15.2 Crosses 18.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Buriram United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.41 xG 1.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
306 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 6-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
20.04.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-4 HT 0-2 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
24.11.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
25.11.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
05.03.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 2-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
24.10.2021 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-2 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
3-2
AWAY Buriram United
1.71 xG 2.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
300 Passes 405
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi nicked a narrow win over Buriram United 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Buriram United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 42% of the ball to Buriram United's 58%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.71 to 2.22 — the balance of chances actually favoured Buriram United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ratchaburi and 2.50 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Buriram United?

Ratchaburi 3-2 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 28%, draw 21%, Buriram United 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Buriram United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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