Sukhothai 3-3 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +0%
2.14/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.14
+25% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
29.0 Crosses 12.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.66 xG 0.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
327 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
02.03.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
02.10.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-1 HT 2-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
25.02.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 3-0 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
01.10.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-1 HT 0-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
3-3
AWAY Chiangrai United
2.22 xG 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
246 Passes 374
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai and Chiangrai United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sukhothai at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sukhothai had 42% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 58%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.22 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sukhothai had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Sukhothai and 0.80 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Chiangrai United?

Sukhothai 3-3 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sukhothai win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 46%, draw 25%, Chiangrai United 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sukhothai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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