Bangkok United 3-0 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

Bangkok United
3-0 HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Bangkok United vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bangkok United v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.26/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.28
+2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +121%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
16.4 Crosses 10.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Bangkok United vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangkok United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY BG Pathum United
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.83 xG 1.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
246 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.12.2024 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
19.03.2023 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
23.10.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-0 HT 0-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
05.03.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 1-1 HT 1-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
24.10.2021 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY

Bangkok United 3-0 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
3-0
AWAY BG Pathum United
2.27 xG 0.76
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United ran out comfortable winners over BG Pathum United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Bangkok United had 48% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 52%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.27 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Bangkok United and 0.60 for BG Pathum United.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs BG Pathum United?

Bangkok United 3-0 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 53%, draw 24%, BG Pathum United 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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