BG Pathum United 2-1 Kanchanaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 24 Dec 2025

📅24/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanchanaburi EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.67/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.10
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
22.6 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BG Pathum United
2-1
AWAY Kanchanaburi
2.05 xG 0.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
246 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
6 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH BG Pathum United vs Kanchanaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BG Pathum United nicked a narrow win over Kanchanaburi 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, BG Pathum United had 45% of the ball to Kanchanaburi's 55%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.05 to 0.85.

What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Kanchanaburi?

BG Pathum United 2-1 Kanchanaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 24/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Kanchanaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 60%, draw 20%, Kanchanaburi 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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