Sukhothai 0-1 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 24 Dec 2025

📅24/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
58%
Away Win
61%
-3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 66%
+23% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.21/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.87
+40% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
225 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 84%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
16.4 Crosses 22.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Buriram United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
0.25 xG 2.16
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 12
231 Passes 458
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-2 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
22.11.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 2-0 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
22.01.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-3 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
19.08.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 6-1 HT 4-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
0-1
AWAY Buriram United
0.23 xG 0.69
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 10
228 Passes 462
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United squeezed past Sukhothai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sukhothai had 33% of the ball to Buriram United's 67%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.23 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sukhothai and 3.25 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Buriram United?

Sukhothai 0-1 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 24/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 21%, draw 21%, Buriram United 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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