Ratchaburi 1-2 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 24 Dec 2025

📅24/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.0pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.71/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.18
+2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.8 Crosses 14.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.86 xG 0.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
379 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
20.10.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-0 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
28.04.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
11.03.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
15.10.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
15.01.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
1-2
AWAY Chiangrai United
2.05 xG 1.38
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
467 Passes 209
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United squeezed past Ratchaburi 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ratchaburi at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 66% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 34%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.05 to 1.38 — on chances, Ratchaburi could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ratchaburi and 0.50 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United?

Ratchaburi 1-2 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 24/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 54%, draw 26%, Chiangrai United 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ratchaburi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ BTTS Yes
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