Ratchaburi 1-0 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-13.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.49/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.81
-8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
23.1 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.47 xG 0.72
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 Passes 217
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
11.03.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
15.10.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
15.01.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
1-0
AWAY Chiangrai United
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi nicked a narrow win over Chiangrai United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ratchaburi as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 56% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 44%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Ratchaburi and 0.75 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United?

Ratchaburi 1-0 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 56%, draw 23%, Chiangrai United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ratchaburi), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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