Bangkok United 4-1 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-8.3pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.5pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.83/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.62
+10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
18.1 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangkok United
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.93 xG 0.31
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
446 Passes 158
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
38 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 6
17.02.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
15.09.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-0 HT 0-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
12.02.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-0 HT 2-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
11.09.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
4-1
AWAY Sukhothai
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United ran out comfortable winners over Sukhothai 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Bangkok United had 66% of the ball to Sukhothai's 34%, shots finished 26-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bangkok United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bangkok United and 0.00 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Sukhothai?

Bangkok United 4-1 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 65%, draw 20%, Sukhothai 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5
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