Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Prachuap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.7pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.7pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Prachuap EU Bookmakers 48%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.07/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.98
-20% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
7.0 Crosses 31.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Pathom
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Prachuap
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
13.02.2024 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 1-1 HT 0-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
1-1
AWAY Prachuap
1.23 xG 0.99
37% Ball Possession 63%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
139 Passes 281
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Prachuap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Pathom and Prachuap couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 37% of the ball to Prachuap's 63%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.23 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Prachuap?

Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Prachuap in the Thailand - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Prachuap?

Before kick-off our model rated an Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 33%, draw 33%, Prachuap 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Prachuap), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Prachuap) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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