Chiangrai United 1-0 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.87/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.97
+19% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
12.6 Crosses 15.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Ratchaburi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.72 xG 0.47
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
217 Passes 362
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
15.10.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
15.01.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
1-0
AWAY Ratchaburi
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United squeezed past Ratchaburi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Chiangrai United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 41% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 59%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chiangrai United and 0.33 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi?

Chiangrai United 1-0 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangrai United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 36%, draw 30%, Ratchaburi 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chiangrai United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chiangrai United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
28 Apr 2024
14:00 Trat vs Police Tero Analysis →
15:00 Lamphun Warrior vs Khonkaen Utd Analysis →