Lamphun Warrior 2-3 Khonkaen Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.22/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.84
-16% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +74%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
19.0 Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.36 xG 0.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
169 Passes 250
63% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 1-1 HT 1-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
2-3
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Khonkaen Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khonkaen Utd squeezed past Lamphun Warrior 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lamphun Warrior at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 58% of the ball to Khonkaen Utd's 42%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Khonkaen Utd?

Lamphun Warrior 2-3 Khonkaen Utd in the Thailand - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Khonkaen Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 54%, draw 21%, Khonkaen Utd 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✓ BTTS Yes
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