Trat 4-2 Police Tero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.7pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trat EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Police Tero EU Bookmakers 34%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.80
+32% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +64%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
Crosses 18.5
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trat
4-2
AWAY Police Tero
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Trat vs Police Tero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trat got the better of Police Tero 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Trat found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Trat had 34% of the ball to Police Tero's 66%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Trat vs Police Tero?

Trat 4-2 Police Tero in the Thailand - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trat vs Police Tero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trat win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Trat 38%, draw 27%, Police Tero 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trat), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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