Chiangrai United 0-1 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
26%
+13.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
45%
-12.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.96/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.08
+12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
13.9 Crosses 19.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Ratchaburi
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.72 xG 0.47
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
217 Passes 362
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-0 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
28.04.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
11.03.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
15.10.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
15.01.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
0-1
AWAY Ratchaburi
0.31 xG 2.03
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
233 Passes 431
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi squeezed past Chiangrai United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Ratchaburi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 37% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 63%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.31 to 2.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ratchaburi's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Chiangrai United and 0.40 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi?

Chiangrai United 0-1 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangrai United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 40%, draw 28%, Ratchaburi 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chiangrai United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chiangrai United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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