Sukhothai 1-3 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-7.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 56%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.05/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.57
+58% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +122%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
14.0 Crosses 18.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Bangkok United
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.31 xG 1.93
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
158 Passes 446
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Bangkok United Bangkok United 4-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
17.02.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
15.09.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-0 HT 0-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
12.02.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-0 HT 2-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
11.09.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
1-3
AWAY Bangkok United
1.17 xG 2.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
197 Passes 512
79% Pass Accuracy 91%
21 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United got the better of Sukhothai 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Sukhothai had 32% of the ball to Bangkok United's 68%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.17 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Sukhothai and 2.00 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Bangkok United?

Sukhothai 1-3 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 31%, draw 25%, Bangkok United 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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