Prachuap 1-0 Nakhon Pathom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.4pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.55/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.42
-3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +83%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
18.0 Crosses 12.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 1.23
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
281 Passes 139
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.10.2024 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 1-1 HT 1-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
13.02.2024 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 1-1 HT 0-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
1-0
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
0.54 xG 0.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
190 Passes 304
62% Pass Accuracy 73%
6 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs Nakhon Pathom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap squeezed past Nakhon Pathom 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Prachuap as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Prachuap had 43% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 57%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.54 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Prachuap and 1.00 for Nakhon Pathom.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs Nakhon Pathom?

Prachuap 1-0 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Nakhon Pathom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 51%, draw 28%, Nakhon Pathom 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prachuap), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Prachuap) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
2 Mar 2025
14:00 Sukhothai vs Bangkok United Analysis →
14:00 Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi Analysis →
15:00 Khonkaen Utd vs Lamphun Warrior Analysis →