Sukhothai vs Buriram United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sukhothai v Buriram United — Team-Based Signals
Sukhothai vs Buriram United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Buriram United
TAY
6-1
HT 4-0
Sukhothai
TAY
Sukhothai 1-2 Buriram United — Actual Match Statistics
Buriram United edged past Sukhothai 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Sukhothai had 35% of the ball to Buriram United's 65%, shots finished 5-26, expected goals 0.17 to 2.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Buriram United's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sukhothai and 3.67 for Buriram United.
What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Buriram United?
Sukhothai 1-2 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Buriram United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 21%, draw 22%, Buriram United 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.