BG Pathum United vs Nakhon Ratchasima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Nakhon Ratchasima — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United vs Nakhon Ratchasima Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
BG Pathum United
TAY
3-0
HT 0-0
Nakhon Ratchasima
TAY
0-0
HT 0-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
BG Pathum United 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United nicked a narrow win over Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 66% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 34%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.09 to 0.86.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for BG Pathum United and 0.25 for Nakhon Ratchasima.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
BG Pathum United 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 57%, draw 23%, Nakhon Ratchasima 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.