Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.38/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.08
-34% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
237 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 80%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
26.1 Crosses 27.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Pathom
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Rayong FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.49 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
244 Passes 242
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Rayong FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY
11.02.2023 Rayong FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY1
30.09.2022 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 4-1 HT 2-0 Rayong FC TAY1
12.02.2022 Rayong FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY1
09.10.2021 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 1-4 HT 0-3 Rayong FC TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
1-2
AWAY Rayong FC
0.64 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
201 Passes 169
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
5 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC edged past Nakhon Pathom 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nakhon Pathom at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 51% of the ball to Rayong FC's 49%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.64 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Nakhon Pathom and 1.60 for Rayong FC.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Rayong FC?

Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Pathom win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 42%, draw 25%, Rayong FC 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nakhon Pathom) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nakhon Pathom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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