Nacional de Football 0-1 Central Espanol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+1.5pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.1pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Espanol EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.13/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.50
+28% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +142% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
0-1
AWAY Central Espanol
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Central Espanol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Espanol squeezed past Nacional de Football 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nacional de Football at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 68% of the ball to Central Espanol's 32%, shots finished 19-5.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Central Espanol?

Nacional de Football 0-1 Central Espanol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Central Espanol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 68%, draw 18%, Central Espanol 14%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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4 Apr 2026
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