Danubio 1-1 Torque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Torque EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -15%
1.54/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.24
+31% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Torque
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2025 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 2-0 Torque Torque URU
07.06.2025 Danubio Danubio 3-2 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
31.03.2025 Torque Torque 1-1 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
20.08.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-1 HT 0-0 Torque Torque URU
16.06.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 0-0 Torque Torque URU
06.02.2023 Torque Torque 1-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
1-1
AWAY Torque
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Torque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio and Torque shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Danubio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Danubio had 50% of the ball to Torque's 50%, shots finished 13-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Danubio and 0.83 for Torque.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Torque?

Danubio 1-1 Torque in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Torque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Danubio 41%, draw 30%, Torque 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Danubio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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