Danubio 2-0 Torque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.64
Over 2.5
53%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.9
No
39%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
49%
+12.1pp
39%
BTTS No
51%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Torque EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.00/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.93
-10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Torque
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.06.2025 Danubio Danubio 3-2 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
31.03.2025 Torque Torque 1-1 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
20.08.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-1 HT 0-0 Torque Torque URU
16.06.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 0-0 Torque Torque URU
06.02.2023 Torque Torque 1-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
19.08.2022 Danubio Danubio 3-2 HT 2-0 Torque Torque URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
2-0
AWAY Torque
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Torque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio saw off Torque 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Torque at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Danubio had 46% of the ball to Torque's 54%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Danubio and 1.17 for Torque.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Torque?

Danubio 2-0 Torque in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Torque?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Danubio 33%, draw 27%, Torque 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torque) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
28 Sep 2025
00:00 Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol Analysis →
22:00 Juventud vs Nacional de Football Analysis →