Juventud 0-0 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.09
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
61%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
17%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
61%
Away Win
60%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 64%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
0.11/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.75
-87% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-1 HT 2-0 Juventud Juventud URU
30.03.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventud Juventud URU
06.12.2019 Juventud Juventud 0-3 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
25.08.2019 Juventud Juventud 0-2 HT 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud
0-0
AWAY Nacional de Football
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventud vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud and Nacional de Football fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Nacional de Football carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Juventud had 43% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 57%, shots finished 4-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Juventud and 2.50 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Juventud vs Nacional de Football?

Juventud 0-0 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Juventud 17%, draw 22%, Nacional de Football 61%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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