Nacional de Football 4-1 Juventud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-8.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.96/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.46
+20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Juventud
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventud Juventud URU
06.12.2019 Juventud Juventud 0-3 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
25.08.2019 Juventud Juventud 0-2 HT 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
4-1
AWAY Juventud
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Juventud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football swept aside Juventud 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 55% of the ball to Juventud's 45%, shots finished 18-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.67 for Juventud.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Juventud?

Nacional de Football 4-1 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Juventud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 53%, draw 24%, Juventud 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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