Progreso 2-0 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progreso EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +5%
1.21/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.74
+10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progreso
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Boston River
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Progreso Progreso 2-2 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
16.10.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
13.04.2024 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
08.11.2021 Boston River Boston River 0-0 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
16.07.2021 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
24.02.2021 Boston River Boston River 2-3 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progreso
2-0
AWAY Boston River
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Progreso vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progreso saw off Boston River 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Progreso found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Progreso had 48% of the ball to Boston River's 52%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Progreso and 0.83 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Progreso vs Boston River?

Progreso 2-0 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progreso vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Progreso 32%, draw 29%, Boston River 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boston River) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boston River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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