Progreso vs Boston River Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Boston River — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Boston River Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Boston River
URU
2-3
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
1-2
HT 1-1
Boston River
URU
Progreso 2-2 Boston River — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso and Boston River couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Progreso had 40% of the ball to Boston River's 60%, shots finished 9-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progreso and 0.83 for Boston River.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Boston River?
Progreso 2-2 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Boston River?
Before kick-off our model rated an Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Progreso 33%, draw 28%, Boston River 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.